{"id":19488,"date":"2021-12-19T10:25:53","date_gmt":"2021-12-19T15:25:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/?p=19488"},"modified":"2021-12-19T10:41:37","modified_gmt":"2021-12-19T15:41:37","slug":"episode-489-can-a-snowflake-capture-the-corona-virus-facts-and-fiction-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/?p=19488","title":{"rendered":"EPISODE  489   CAN A SNOWFLAKE CAPTURE THE CORONA VIRUS? FACTS AND FICTION"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>EPISODE 489 &nbsp; CAN A SNOWFLAKE CAPTURE THE CORONA VIRUS? &nbsp;(FACTS AND FICTION)<\/p>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">alan skeoch<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">dec. 18,2021<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"91D414CB-14A9-4C4D-A69C-37C973041914\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/A462D690-F92B-4AAE-AE4F-B58A04A46673_1_105_c-1.jpeg\" class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cMarjorie, this corona virus is starting to get to me.\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cHow so? &nbsp;Are you any different than others?\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cNo. &nbsp;But the goddamn virus is changing my life. &nbsp;And not for the best.\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cGet your coat on. &nbsp;Let\u2019s take Woody for a walk and calm down.\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cThe streets are empty. &nbsp;Everybody is hived away.\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cNot everybody. There are tracks.\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cThos are our tracks.&#8221;<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"1F1ED156-B2AD-47E6-B56C-D5431A79E249\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/BC39E2CE-2862-4F12-BF05-915FD69E2C20_1_105_c-1.jpeg\" class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cREADERS will have trouble separating fact from fiction in this episode Marjorie\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cNot Surprised.&#8221;<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"87D07001-4CBF-4FC1-9F15-65C0A9FC2E62\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/2E70D853-9DD4-433B-9B64-2026BD733E5D_1_105_c-1.jpeg\" class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">TODAY our streets were bombarded by millions of large heavy snowflakes.<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">And at the same time parts of our neighbourhood harboured billions, perhaps hundreds<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">of billions of the corona virus. &nbsp;Our streets are empty<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">Is it safe to go for a walk? &nbsp;Unmasked? &nbsp;Which got me to thinking. &nbsp;The virus is<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">so small that it cannot be detected even by sophisticated microscopes. And the<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">virus is so light that it can float around in the air quite freely. &nbsp; Which made me<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">think.<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"2725A4A6-51D8-49B3-BF30-3D84EB4E477F\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/B170A6BA-C30C-44A9-922C-570C5966EFCA_1_105_c-2.jpeg\" class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cWhat are viruses anyway? &nbsp;Animal, vegetable or mineral?<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-family: \"Open Sans\", Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.5; vertical-align: baseline; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\" class=\"\">Viruses are microscopic parasites, generally much smaller than bacteria. They lack the capacity to thrive and reproduce outside of a host body.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"ad-unit-1\" class=\"ad-unit\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-family: \"Open Sans\", Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"bordeaux-static-slot-6\" class=\"bordeaux-slot\" data-feat-ref=\"bordeaux-feat-id-114\" style=\"margin: auto; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-family: \"Open Sans\", Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(51, 51, 51); display: flex; flex-direction: column;\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 1em; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-family: \"Open Sans\", Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.5; vertical-align: baseline; caret-color: rgb(51, 51, 51); color: rgb(51, 51, 51);\" class=\"\">Predominantly, viruses have a reputation for being the cause of contagion. Widespread events of disease and death have no doubt bolstered such a reputation. The 2014 outbreak of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.livescience.com\/48311-ebola-causes-symptoms-treatment.html\" data-url=\"\/48311-ebola-causes-symptoms-treatment.html\" data-component-tracked=\"1\" class=\"hawk-link-parsed\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(2, 108, 162); text-decoration: none;\">Ebola<\/a>&nbsp;in West Africa, and the 2009&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.livescience.com\/41539-2009-swine-flu-death-toll-higher.html\" data-url=\"\/41539-2009-swine-flu-death-toll-higher.html\" data-component-tracked=\"1\" class=\"hawk-link-parsed\" style=\"margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant-caps: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: rgb(2, 108, 162); text-decoration: none;\">H1N1\/swine flu<\/a>&nbsp;pandemic (a widespread global outbreak) likely come to mind.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cHow long have the little bastards been around?<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cSome scientists say they only appeared 8,000 BCE years ago. &nbsp;Others say they are 55 million yeas old and co developed with bats. &nbsp;<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">Quite a difference in opinion.&#8221;<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"D9A335D5-61CD-43C4-AE69-69633D823705\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/545B58DE-7088-4E83-B01A-5369FD038B26_1_105_c-1.jpeg\" class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"61023067-561A-4010-B1A7-4F2C2E6DA0E7\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/D675DD96-9882-46E0-9293-2A5D46B7C841_1_105_c-1.jpeg\" class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"709D776F-D77A-4668-ACAC-0D4E85240DAD\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/B170A6BA-C30C-44A9-922C-570C5966EFCA_1_105_c-3.jpeg\" class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cHow big are the snowflakes?\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cBig enough to see them until they disappear.\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cWhich makes me think. &nbsp;The virus seems to be everywhere\u2026even out here.\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cAccording to the experts, yes\u2026everywhere\u2026at least in spots all around he<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">earth.\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cEven out here on Glenburnie Road?\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cNow here\u2019s an idea&#8230;Suppose one of these big wet snowflakes struck a tiny corona virus. &nbsp;Wouldn\u2019t the<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">snowflake capture the virus and take it to the ground. &nbsp;Wouldn\u2019t a million snowflakes<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">take a billion corona virus to the ground? &nbsp; &nbsp;Cleanse our air? &nbsp;&#8220;<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cSort of silly comments, alan&#8221;<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">&#8220;Now here is a mathematical problem. &nbsp;The Question:<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cHow many corona virus can be caught by one fluffy snowflake?&#8221;<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cHas anybody ever answered?<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cYes, the mathematician Christian Yates did\u2026in a way that is similar\u2026\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">(See Conclusion\u2026after the silly stuff)<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"502F465C-0D2A-4F05-B38A-9770999ECFDD\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/8974AE27-0E4B-4C4E-91B3-0DD57202DAF1_1_105_c-1.jpeg\" class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">&#8220;WHAT DOES A CORONAVIRUS LOOK LIKE?&#8221;<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">Seems to be quite attractive . At least according to the editors of Scientific American (July 2020)<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">who put this image on the front over of the magazine in 2020. &nbsp;NOT THE REAL COLOURS I IMAGINE.<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">You may wonder what those yellow stems are\u2026They are \u2018grabbers\u2019 that latch on to your lung cells<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">and then allow the Covid 19 Virus to squeeze into lung cells. &nbsp;In other words those \u2018grabbers\u2019 are<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">not nice. &nbsp;In many cases infected people do not even know the Covid Virus is in their lungs.<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">TWO QUESTIONS<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<h3 class=\"LC20lb MBeuO DKV0Md\" style=\"color: rgb(102, 0, 153); text-decoration: none; outline: 0px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px 0px 3px; padding: 5px 0px 0px; font-size: 20px; line-height: 1.3; font-family: arial, sans-serif; display: inline-block;\">&nbsp;1)&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=&amp;ved=2ahUKEwjAkOCbnu70AhXCKs0KHd3TAT8QFnoECAcQAQ&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mcgill.ca%2Foss%2Farticle%2Fcovid-19-health%2Fhow-long-does-covid-virus-live-surfaces&amp;usg=AOvVaw0zQc-nhEfQflooZZnjx4C-\" data-jsarwt=\"1\" data-usg=\"AOvVaw0zQc-nhEfQflooZZnjx4C-\" data-ved=\"2ahUKEwjAkOCbnu70AhXCKs0KHd3TAT8QFnoECAcQAQ\" data-ctbtn=\"0\" data-cthref=\"\/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=&amp;ved=2ahUKEwjAkOCbnu70AhXCKs0KHd3TAT8QFnoECAcQAQ&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mcgill.ca%2Foss%2Farticle%2Fcovid-19-health%2Fhow-long-does-covid-virus-live-surfaces&amp;usg=AOvVaw0zQc-nhEfQflooZZnjx4C-\" data-jrwt=\"1\" style=\"color: rgb(102, 0, 153); text-decoration: none; outline: 0px;\" class=\"\">How Long Does the COVID Virus Live?<\/a>\u201d<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<h3 class=\"LC20lb MBeuO DKV0Md\" style=\"color: rgb(102, 0, 153); text-decoration: none; outline: 0px; font-weight: normal; margin: 0px 0px 3px; padding: 5px 0px 0px; font-size: 20px; line-height: 1.3; font-family: arial, sans-serif; display: inline-block;\"><br class=\"\"><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><font color=\"#660099\" face=\"arial, sans-serif\" class=\"\"><span style=\"font-size: 20px;\" class=\"\">&nbsp;On October 16 ,2020 &nbsp;Australian&nbsp;study says the SARS&nbsp;COVID 2 &nbsp;virus can live for 28 days (Oct. 16, 2020)<\/span><\/font><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">2) &nbsp;How much space would be needed if we gathered all the Corona Viruses in the world??&#8221;<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\u201cSuppose we gathered all the Corona Virus on the earth right now. &nbsp;How much space would we<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">need to keep them?\u201d\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">Below is the answer given by mathematician Chrisitan Yates<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"rg_i Q4LuWd\" jsname=\"Q4LuWd\" alt=\"Picture Of Red Can Of Soft Drink\" data-noaft=\"1\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"570746DD-39C1-4ABB-AFAD-5A28C3D619B6\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/images-1.jpeg\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"b-font-family-serif article__intro\" style=\"font-family: ReithSerif, \"Times New Roman\", serif; color: rgb(77, 77, 73); font-size: 26px; letter-spacing: -1.63px; line-height: 37px; margin-bottom: 24px; padding: 14px 0px 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\">If you collected up every Sars-CoV-2 virus particle in the world, it would fit inside a soft drinks can, writes the mathematician Christian Yates.<\/div>\n<div style=\"box-sizing: border-box; font-family: ReithSans, Arial, Helvetica, freesans, sans-serif; font-size: 10px;\" class=\"\">\n<div class=\"b-reith-sans-font body-text-card\" style=\"color: rgb(68, 68, 68); font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; box-sizing: border-box;\">\n<div class=\"b-reith-sans-font drop-capped--future drop-capped\" style=\"align-items: center; border: 2px solid rgb(255, 200, 87); display: flex; float: left; font-size: 58px; font-weight: bold; height: 84px; justify-content: center; margin: 8px 10px 4px 0px; text-transform: uppercase; width: 84px; box-sizing: border-box;\">W<\/div>\n<div class=\"body-text-card__text--drop-capped body-text-card__text--future body-text-card__text--flush-text body-text-card__text\" style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\">\n<div style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 16px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">When I was asked to calculate the total volume of Sars-CoV-2 in the world for the BBC Radio 4 show&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/programmes\/b006qshd\" style=\"cursor: pointer; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-decoration-color: rgb(0, 40, 86); box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">More or Less<\/a>, I will admit I had no idea what the answer would be. My wife suggested it would be the size of an Olympic swimming pool. &#8220;Either that or a teaspoon,&#8221; she said. &#8220;It\u2019s usually one or the other with these sorts of questions.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 16px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">So how to set about calculating an approximation of what the total volume really is?<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 16px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">Fortunately, I have some form with these sorts of large-scale back-of-the-envelope estimations, having carried out a number of them for my book The Maths of Life and Death. Before we embark on this particular numerical journey, though, I should be clear that this is an approximation based on the most reasonable assumptions, but I will happily admit there may be places where it can be improved.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 16px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><em style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">You might also be interested in:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\n<li style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/future\/article\/20210119-covid-19-variants-how-the-virus-will-mutate-in-the-future\" style=\"cursor: pointer; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-decoration-color: rgb(0, 40, 86); box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">How Covid-19 might mutate in the future<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<li style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/future\/article\/20210122-the-coronavirus-10-times-more-deadly-than-covid\" style=\"cursor: pointer; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-decoration-color: rgb(0, 40, 86); box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">The other coronavirus worrying experts<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<li style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/future\/article\/20210114-covid-19-how-effective-is-a-single-vaccine-dose\" style=\"cursor: pointer; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-decoration-color: rgb(0, 40, 86); box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><strong style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">How effective is a single vaccine dose<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 16px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">So where to start? We\u2019d better first calculate how many Sars-CoV-2 particles there are in the world. To do that, we\u2019ll need to know how many people are infected. (We\u2019ll assume humans rather than animals are the most significant reservoir for the virus.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\n<div class=\"b-reith-sans-font body-text-card\" style=\"color: rgb(68, 68, 68); font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; box-sizing: border-box;\">\n<div class=\"body-text-card__text--future body-text-card__text body-text-card__text--flush-text\" style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\">\n<div style=\"box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 16px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">The amount of virus that each of the people currently infected will carry around with them (their viral load) depends on how long ago they were infected. On average, viral loads are thought to rise and peak about&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/bmjopen.bmj.com\/content\/10\/8\/e039856#DC1\" style=\"cursor: pointer; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-decoration-color: rgb(0, 40, 86); box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">six days after infection<\/a>, after which they steadily decline.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 16px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">Of all the people who are infected now, those who got infected yesterday will contribute a little to the total count. Those who were infected a couple of days ago will contribute a little more. Those infected three days ago a little more still. On average, people infected six days ago will have the highest viral load. This contribution will then decline for people who were infected seven or eight or nine days ago, and so on.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 16px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">The final thing we need to know is the number of virus particles people harbour at any point during their infection. Since we know roughly how viral load changes over time, it\u2019s enough to have an estimate of the peak viral load. An&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.medrxiv.org\/content\/10.1101\/2020.11.16.20232009v1.full.pdf+html\" style=\"cursor: pointer; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-decoration-color: rgb(0, 40, 86); box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">unpublished study<\/a>&nbsp;took data on the number of virus particles per&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-020-2324-7\" style=\"cursor: pointer; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-decoration-color: rgb(0, 40, 86); box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">gram of a range of different tissues in infected monkeys<\/a>&nbsp;and scaled up the size of tissue to be&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.icrp.org\/publication.asp?id=ICRP%20Publication%2089\" style=\"cursor: pointer; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); text-decoration-color: rgb(0, 40, 86); box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">representative of humans<\/a>. Their rough estimates for peak viral loads range from one billion to 100 billion virus particles.<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0px 0px 16px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">Let\u2019s work with a value in the middle of this range (the geometric mean) at 10 billion. When you add up all the contributions to the viral load of each of the 3 million people who became infected on each of the previous days (assuming this 3 million rate is roughly constant) then we find that there are roughly 200 quadrillion (2&#215;10\u00b9\u2077 or two hundred million billion) virus particles in the world at any one time.<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">CONCLUSION<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cSO, Alan, How many virus could we gather on our walk in the snow?<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cNot enough to cover the head of a pin.?<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cHow do you know that?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cI have no bloody idea.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cCould we put all the virus particles in the world into our schoolhouse\u2026bird house?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cApparently so.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cDo you think any Covid 19 has been captured by these fluffy snowflakes?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cYou flatter my intelligence. &nbsp;Just for fun count the snowlafes on the school house roof<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">and &nbsp;multiply it by a billion billion or more\u2026that\u2019s the space needed for the Covid virus.<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cStick with the pop can image\u2026makes more sense.<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"6EF05340-DF70-4714-AEFC-2FF4AE9B802D\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/1360BBC7-4E34-4A54-9D40-5AFE580D80BF_1_105_c-1.jpeg\" class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">POST SCRIPT\u2026NEXT DAY<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cMARJORIE, I see the TTC has ordered all windows on busses to be open.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cWhy?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cTo blow as many of the Covid particles out the windows i imagine.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cHow did the Covid particles get in the busses anyway?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cFrom the lungs of infected people. &nbsp;A lot of people do not even know they are infected.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cWell the open window trick won\u2019t work today?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cWhy nor?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cThe sun is out\u2026beautiful day.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cWhat has that got to do with limiting the Covid viruses?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cNo falling snowflakes to catch the viruses and take them to the ground.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cSometimes you say stupid things, Alan.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cRight \u2026 the snowflake caper would not help much anyway.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cWhy not?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cThose Australian researchers said the Covid virus could live for 28 days on surfaces.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cReally?\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cMeans we could pick the virus up on our boots.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cNow that is a really stupid answer.\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">\u201cYour job is to separate fact from fiction\u2026now!\u201d<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">FACTS<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">1) UP TO 28 DAY LIFE OF VIRUS<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">2) VIRUS REPRODUCED IN HUMAN LUNGS\u2026 AND EXPECCED<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">3) TTC BUSSES NOW HAVE OPEN WINDOWS<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">4) ALL COVID VIRUSES ON EARTH COULD BE PUT IN A POP CAN<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">5) VIRUSSES EMERGED SOMETIME BETWEEN 8,000 AND 55 MILLION YEARS AGO<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">6) THE LITTLE STALKS ON THE VIRUS ARE \u2018GRABBERS\u2019 THAT SEIZE LUNG CELLS<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">FICTION<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">1) SNOWFLAKES COULD CATCH VIRUSES&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">2) VIRUSES ON OUR BOOTS<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">3) OPEN AIR IS AS DANGEROUS AS CROWDED BARROOM<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">4) STREETS ARE EMPTY\u2026NOT SO BECAUSE LIFE GOES ON DESPITE COVID 19<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\">TODAY\u2026DECEMBER 19, 2021\u2026THE SUN IS SHINING&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; box-sizing: border-box;\" class=\"\"><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"caret-color: rgb(0, 0, 0); color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 18px;\" apple-inline=\"yes\" id=\"B70F5F7E-1487-4A40-B2F2-B6129959AE5B\" src=\"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/IMG_9892-1-rotated.jpg\" class=\"\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"NJjxre TbwUpd\" style=\"color: rgb(102, 0, 153); text-decoration: none; outline: 0px; display: inline-block; padding-bottom: 2px; padding-top: 1px; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px;\"><br class=\"\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"NJjxre TbwUpd\" style=\"color: rgb(102, 0, 153); text-decoration: none; outline: 0px; display: inline-block; padding-bottom: 2px; padding-top: 1px; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px;\"><span style=\"color: rgb(77, 81, 86); white-space: nowrap;\" class=\"\">&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EPISODE 489 &nbsp; CAN A SNOWFLAKE CAPTURE THE CORONA VIRUS? &nbsp;(FACTS AND FICTION) alan skeoch dec. 18,2021 \u201cMarjorie, this corona virus is starting to get to me.\u201d \u201cHow so? &nbsp;Are you any different than others?\u201d \u201cNo. &nbsp;But the goddamn virus is changing my life. &nbsp;And not for the best.\u201d \u201cGet your coat on. &nbsp;Let\u2019s take [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19488","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19488","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=19488"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19488\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=19488"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=19488"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/alanskeoch.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=19488"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}